Published:
Thursday March 6, 2014 MYT 8:12:00 AM
Updated: Thursday March 6, 2014 MYT 8:15:49 AM
Updated: Thursday March 6, 2014 MYT 8:15:49 AM
KUALA
LUMPUR: The following factors are likely to influence Malaysian palm oil
futures and other vegetable oil markets on Thursday.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Malaysian palm oil futures hit a 17-month high on Wednesday, supported by
expectations that the dry weather will hurt Southeast Asian production and as
key analysts gave bullish price outlooks at an industry gathering.
* U.S. corn futures closed lower on Wednesday after a choppy session as the
market's rally to the highest levels in nearly six months triggered
profit-taking and farmer selling, traders said.
* Oil prices slid nearly $2 per barrel on Wednesday as U.S. government data
reflected weaker oil demand as Europe and the United States head into spring and
refiners move into maintenance season.
MARKET NEWS
* World markets were calm on Wednesday after two days of wild swings, with the
United States and Russia set to hold talks on easing East-West tension in
Ukraine.
* Oil slid further on Wednesday, weighing on a key commodities index, but gold,
nickel and coffee prices rose as investor attention returned after a brief pause
over the Ukraine crisis.
RELATED
> Palm oil prices to rise on Indonesian biodiesel mandate-Mistry
> Malaysian palm prices seen capped at 3,000 rgt by mid-2014-Fry
> Global oilseed output seen up 5.1 pct in 2013/2014- Mielke
> Indonesia unlikely to meet 2014 biodiesel mandate -industry official
> China says to boost agricultural subsidies, lift grain capacity
> PREVIEW-Swollen stocks, weak demand to weigh on China's Feb commodities
imports
> Thai govt to start paying rice arrears, farmers still not happy
DATA/EVENTS
> Industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) will release data on
Malaysia's end-February palm oil stocks, exports and production on March 10.
> Cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale de Surveillance
will release Malaysia's March 1-10 palm oil export data on March 10.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0002 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL APR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA SOYOIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CBOT SOY OIL MAY4 43.30 +0.00 0.00 0.00 0
NYMEX CRUDE APR4 100.99 -0.46 100.86 101.08 1034
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel- Reuters
FUNDAMENTALS
* Malaysian palm oil futures hit a 17-month high on Wednesday, supported by
expectations that the dry weather will hurt Southeast Asian production and as
key analysts gave bullish price outlooks at an industry gathering.
* U.S. corn futures closed lower on Wednesday after a choppy session as the
market's rally to the highest levels in nearly six months triggered
profit-taking and farmer selling, traders said.
* Oil prices slid nearly $2 per barrel on Wednesday as U.S. government data
reflected weaker oil demand as Europe and the United States head into spring and
refiners move into maintenance season.
MARKET NEWS
* World markets were calm on Wednesday after two days of wild swings, with the
United States and Russia set to hold talks on easing East-West tension in
Ukraine.
* Oil slid further on Wednesday, weighing on a key commodities index, but gold,
nickel and coffee prices rose as investor attention returned after a brief pause
over the Ukraine crisis.
RELATED
> Palm oil prices to rise on Indonesian biodiesel mandate-Mistry
> Malaysian palm prices seen capped at 3,000 rgt by mid-2014-Fry
> Global oilseed output seen up 5.1 pct in 2013/2014- Mielke
> Indonesia unlikely to meet 2014 biodiesel mandate -industry official
> China says to boost agricultural subsidies, lift grain capacity
> PREVIEW-Swollen stocks, weak demand to weigh on China's Feb commodities
imports
> Thai govt to start paying rice arrears, farmers still not happy
DATA/EVENTS
> Industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) will release data on
Malaysia's end-February palm oil stocks, exports and production on March 10.
> Cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale de Surveillance
will release Malaysia's March 1-10 palm oil export data on March 10.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0002 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL APR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA SOYOIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CBOT SOY OIL MAY4 43.30 +0.00 0.00 0.00 0
NYMEX CRUDE APR4 100.99 -0.46 100.86 101.08 1034
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel- Reuters
B7 Biodiesel Mandate too Ambitious
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian Palm Oil Council
chief executive officer Tan Sri Dr Yusof Basiron has described the
government's plan to implement the B7 biodiesel programme (a mix of 7%
palm oil and 93% petroleum diesel) as too ambitious to carry out at the
moment.
"If prices of palm oil were cheap enough
to make using the B7 blend very attractive, then obviously this option
would be tried or implemented once we have more blending facilities set
up.
"It is somewhat played by ear, to see what
transpires in terms of market prices and comparative prices with
diesel," he said during a roundtable discussion at the Palm and Lauric
Oil Conference (POC) yesterday.
Yusof, however, supported the B5 programme which should be rolled out nationwide, including in Sabah and Sarawak by July.
"Once we have all the blending facilities implemented throughout the
country, the first target is to have the capacity to blend consistently
for the whole country at the B5 level.
"There will
be pressure for prices to be competitive. But the Malaysian system is
such that diesel itself is subsidised, and therefore the government is
always calculating the top-up subsidy needed to bring palm diesel to the
retail price level.
"So putting the B5 programme into place is not too daunting at the moment," Yusof said.
He
said the programme roll-out had been delayed due to challenges in the
palm oil industry, prompting the government not to rush into the
programme.
Meanwhile, Godrej International
director Dorab Mistry said the will to implement the biodiesel programme
is more perceptible in Indonesia compared with Malaysia.
"Having a 10% blend is definitely workable. Malaysia could have
implemented this mandate 10 years ago after the last [commodity] price
collapse in 2000, but nothing was done about it.
"I have a feeling Indonesia is very serious about the B10 mandate, and I
think within 2½ years, it will reach that goal. In terms of
implementation, Indonesia is very proactive, and as a result Malaysia
will follow," he said.
Mistry said it is up to
biodiesel producer countries like Malaysia and Indonesia to make
strategic decisions to increase demand for palm oil and its products, as
well as to substitute the importation of mineral oil.
Additionally,
once the biodiesel mandates have been implemented in Malaysia and
Indonesia, there will be a very significant demand for palm oil as
supply has been away from the broader market.
"The biggest change in the palm oil universe that happened in 2013 is
that the producers have become the market. Indonesia, the single biggest
producer in the world, is well on its way to becoming the single
biggest consumer of this commodity, and that to me, is a red flag for
the consuming countries of China, India and the European Union," Mistry
said.
Vice-president of the procurement chemicals
division at Unilever Biswaranjan Sen said there is a need for an
economic argument for consumers to switch to biodiesel.
"As of today, there is virtually no economic incentive for a consumer
to prefer biodiesel. Whatever intake we see today seems to be
essentially on government mandates.
"Oil
companies don't like it because it complicates their supply chains and
consumers don't necessarily see the benefit of it. If there were to be a
situation where there is an incentive for a consumer to choose a fuel
with biodiesel blended into it, we would see a more rapid uptake of
biodiesel," he said.
Ultimately, consumers do not want to be inconvenienced or pay more for the sake of sustainability, added Biswaranjan.
This article first appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, on March 05, 2014.
Published:
Thursday March 6, 2014 MYT 8:12:00 AM
Updated: Thursday March 6, 2014 MYT 8:15:49 AM
Updated: Thursday March 6, 2014 MYT 8:15:49 AM
Palm oil/Vegoils: Market factors to watch on March 6 (Thursday)
KUALA
LUMPUR: The following factors are likely to influence Malaysian palm oil
futures and other vegetable oil markets on Thursday.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Malaysian palm oil futures hit a 17-month high on Wednesday, supported by
expectations that the dry weather will hurt Southeast Asian production and as
key analysts gave bullish price outlooks at an industry gathering.
* U.S. corn futures closed lower on Wednesday after a choppy session as the
market's rally to the highest levels in nearly six months triggered
profit-taking and farmer selling, traders said.
* Oil prices slid nearly $2 per barrel on Wednesday as U.S. government data
reflected weaker oil demand as Europe and the United States head into spring and
refiners move into maintenance season.
MARKET NEWS
* World markets were calm on Wednesday after two days of wild swings, with the
United States and Russia set to hold talks on easing East-West tension in
Ukraine.
* Oil slid further on Wednesday, weighing on a key commodities index, but gold,
nickel and coffee prices rose as investor attention returned after a brief pause
over the Ukraine crisis.
RELATED
> Palm oil prices to rise on Indonesian biodiesel mandate-Mistry
> Malaysian palm prices seen capped at 3,000 rgt by mid-2014-Fry
> Global oilseed output seen up 5.1 pct in 2013/2014- Mielke
> Indonesia unlikely to meet 2014 biodiesel mandate -industry official
> China says to boost agricultural subsidies, lift grain capacity
> PREVIEW-Swollen stocks, weak demand to weigh on China's Feb commodities
imports
> Thai govt to start paying rice arrears, farmers still not happy
DATA/EVENTS
> Industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) will release data on
Malaysia's end-February palm oil stocks, exports and production on March 10.
> Cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale de Surveillance
will release Malaysia's March 1-10 palm oil export data on March 10.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0002 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL APR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA SOYOIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CBOT SOY OIL MAY4 43.30 +0.00 0.00 0.00 0
NYMEX CRUDE APR4 100.99 -0.46 100.86 101.08 1034
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel- Reuters
FUNDAMENTALS
* Malaysian palm oil futures hit a 17-month high on Wednesday, supported by
expectations that the dry weather will hurt Southeast Asian production and as
key analysts gave bullish price outlooks at an industry gathering.
* U.S. corn futures closed lower on Wednesday after a choppy session as the
market's rally to the highest levels in nearly six months triggered
profit-taking and farmer selling, traders said.
* Oil prices slid nearly $2 per barrel on Wednesday as U.S. government data
reflected weaker oil demand as Europe and the United States head into spring and
refiners move into maintenance season.
MARKET NEWS
* World markets were calm on Wednesday after two days of wild swings, with the
United States and Russia set to hold talks on easing East-West tension in
Ukraine.
* Oil slid further on Wednesday, weighing on a key commodities index, but gold,
nickel and coffee prices rose as investor attention returned after a brief pause
over the Ukraine crisis.
RELATED
> Palm oil prices to rise on Indonesian biodiesel mandate-Mistry
> Malaysian palm prices seen capped at 3,000 rgt by mid-2014-Fry
> Global oilseed output seen up 5.1 pct in 2013/2014- Mielke
> Indonesia unlikely to meet 2014 biodiesel mandate -industry official
> China says to boost agricultural subsidies, lift grain capacity
> PREVIEW-Swollen stocks, weak demand to weigh on China's Feb commodities
imports
> Thai govt to start paying rice arrears, farmers still not happy
DATA/EVENTS
> Industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) will release data on
Malaysia's end-February palm oil stocks, exports and production on March 10.
> Cargo surveyors Intertek Testing Services and Societe Generale de Surveillance
will release Malaysia's March 1-10 palm oil export data on March 10.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0002 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL APR4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CHINA SOYOIL MAY4 0 +0.00 0 0 0
CBOT SOY OIL MAY4 43.30 +0.00 0.00 0.00 0
NYMEX CRUDE APR4 100.99 -0.46 100.86 101.08 1034
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel- Reuters
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