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2014年7月6日星期日

Prestar - Double Dragons

The 1H of 2014 had been bullish in sector like Properties, Plantation, Furniture and Semi Conductor. In the 2H of 2014, we are going to see more focus in the Construction sector, primarily lead by KVMRT line 2 and a few major government infrastructure projects that includes highway, water dam and also Sarawak SCORE.

With all this mega infrastructure projects in line, it will be very worthwhile to take a look at the material supplier for all this projects. Amongst all the material supplier for all this mega infrastructure project, I would like to highlight on PRESTAR RESOURCES BERHAD, a major supplier for highway railings.

 Let's have a quick look at the recent price movement for Prestar


Prestar had been consolidating at the range of RM 0.60 for the past couple of month, however, the counter had seen some new fresh volume that is signifying a growing interest in the company in the coming days. Prestar will be looking set to break above RM 0.65 with a huge volume and will be looking to put a foot hold at RM 0.70.

Prestar on hot rail

As highlighted in my earlier coverage, Prestar primarily involved in:

- Slitting & shearing of carbon & stainless steel mother coils into slitted coils / sheets for automotive, electrical & electronic, office equipment, metal stamping indsutries
- Roll forming of carbon steel pipes and hollow sections
- Roll forming of stainless steel pipes & hollow sections
- Manufacturing of steel flat bars, steel purlines
- Manufacturing of wheelbarrows and platform hand trucks
- Manufacturing of steel shelving & pallet racking and other storage equipment
- Manufacturing of highway guardrails


Prestar had continue to display a growing volume, signaling the bullish demand in the material supplying for huge infrastructural projects. However, the lower contribution on the earning per share might be attributable to a higher operating cost in 2014, but we believe that the management will be taking adequate steps in preserving the earning of the company which will be displayed in the later quarter for the financial year of 2014.


For the 1Q of 2014, Prestar NTA is standing at RM 1.13, which is still at a discount if we had look into the land and properties that the company is owning, which is highlighted in my earlier post - Prestar - Railing on Hot Roads.


Coming up Catalyst in 2014

2H 2014 will see many groundbreaking event for many highway projects that will be built across Klang Valley. A total of 6 highways with a total project value of almost RM 20 billion will be expecting to start work in the 2H of 2014. Amongst them in the line will be

- Kidex (Kinrara - Damansara Expressway) - RM 2.42b, length 14.9km

- EKVE (East Klang Valley Expressway) - RM 1.55b, length 39.5km

- WCE (West Coast Expressway) - RM 5.04b, length 233km

- SUKE (Sungai Besi - Ulu Kelang Expressway) - RM 4.18b, length 31.8km
- DASH (Damansara - Shah Alam Expressway) - RM 4.3b, length 23km

- DUKE extension (Duta - Ulu Kelang Expressway) - RM 1.18b





Which that many highway that are going to kick start in the 2H of 2014, Prestar will be looking to see a higher book order and revenue in the coming days. While they had secured the WCE contract, the other notable contract will be from EKVE and SUKE that will give them yet another double strike on the push from the WCE. This had yet to include the mega development in Sarawak - SCORE, which will be building a lot of roads and highway, as well as the KVMRT line 2 and line 3 project that will see a lot of demand in steel as well.

Prestar position will be very bright in the coming days, fueled by major infrastructure project. Currently  at the price of RM 0.64, Prestar is trading at a discount of 43% on it's NTA. Prestar will be seeing a strong booming growth in the coming 2 to 3 years period. At it's current price, Prestar will be a good target for both trader and investor to secure their position.

Prestar will be looking to break RM 0.65 and challenge RM 0.70 in the coming days. A short term outlook will see Prestar reaching RM 0.70, while a longer tenure will be looking at RM 0.85 to RM 0.90, with a projection of 10 cents in EPS trading at PER x9.

Do you want to choose to see or feel it yourself? You decide.

Bone's short term TP: RM 0.70

Cheers and have a nice day.

2014年4月23日星期三

PRESTAR

金(3):鸿达资源【PRESTAR】,『鸿』运当头?

鸿达资源(PRESTAR,9873,主板工业产品股)成立于1984年7月12日,开始的时候主要是制造手推车、脚轮和平台车等。

在1995年9月20日于马来西亚交易所次板上市后,逐渐多元化业务,为汽车,电子、电器领域提供钢卷(steel coil)再加工服务。

鸿达资源在2003年10月1日成功地转移其上市地位到主板。


鸿达资源目前是一间投资控股公司,其子公司主要在马来西亚和越南从事钢铁加工和钢铁产品的生产活动,以及五金及钢铁产品贸易。

鸿达资源的生产活动主要在占地90,000平方米的万挠工业区上的两个总建筑面积60,000平方米的厂房进行。

在槟城,也有两间总建筑面积24,000平方米的厂房。

为了开拓海外市场,在2008年,也在越南的胡志明市平阳省宋比第三工业园(Song Than III Industrial Park, Binh Duong Province, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam)设置一间总建筑面积14,000平方米的厂房。



除了制造业,鸿达资源在槟城,吉隆坡和柔佛州新山也参与了五金,物料搬运设备,钢卷的贸易和经销。


2012年的财报显示,贸易活动及生产活动,分别贡献了24%及76%的营业额。

至于税前净利,贸易活动及生产活动的贡献比例则是16%和84%。

下图显示了鸿达资源过去10年的营业额及净利。

由于次贷风波加上全球经济放缓,钢铁的售价从2008年11月开始急速下跌,这造成了很多和钢铁相关的公司出现亏损,有的甚至连毛利也赔上,当然鸿达资源也不例外,在2009年交出净利最低的业绩。

鸿达资源在2000年,2003年及2005年分别进行了3项会影响股本的企业活动。

首先在2000年以1对1配发附加股,然后在2003年以1对1配发红股,再于2005年将1令吉的面值进行拆细至50仙。


鸿达资源自从1998年至今派息如下:




鸿达资源过去11年的股息派发率低至13.2%,高则曾达119%。

至于周息率方面,虽然没有说很特出,不过却也比那些长年累月不派息的公司好。

2013财政年,截止2013年12月31日:

营业额:6亿零53万8千令吉,增长2.2%
净利:1624万3千令吉,增长110.9%

股价:64仙
每股净利:7.01仙
本益比:9.12倍

每股净值:1.11令吉
价格/净值:0.58倍

现金及约当现金:2042万令吉
借贷:2亿6103万1千令吉



2013年营业额 - 6亿零53万8千令吉
上半年:3亿零191万4千令吉
下半年:2亿9862万4千令吉(衰退1.1%)
2013年净利 - 1624万3千令吉
上半年:954万1千令吉
下半年:670万2千令吉(衰退29.8%)

后记
很多投资人对钢铁行业深感恐惧,因为产能过剩,因为行业亏损,而且一旦碰上低迷时经常都是经历长达数年的。

作为周期行业的钢铁股,最好的投资时机就是行业全面亏损的时候,许多钢铁股都是大幅跌破每股净值,有的甚至只有净资产的一半价格。

稳定增长型的行业可以为我们带来资产的稳步增长,只要知道过去十年公司的的收益增长情况就会预估到未来十年的公司的增长情况了。

而周期股则会给我们带来意想不到的巨额回报,关键在于要掌握正确的投资时机,同时也要俱备超强的耐心等待,一旦经济复苏,股市走牛,许多暴涨股就会从曾经低迷的行业中蹦出来。

投资周期股要注意三个要点:

1. 公司必须跌破每股净值;
2. 必须尚在赢利的公司;
3. 不必太在乎本益比。

(没有买卖建议,只是在分享一些我所看到的投资心法。)