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2016年6月8日星期三

转贴] 【金轮法王】- 浅谈KIMLUN(5171) ,手握1,820Mil合约,PE 低于8 + 股息5.8仙!- Harryt30 Author: Tan KW | Publish date: Wed,

8 Jun 2016, 01:48 PM 


Wednesday, June 8, 2016 
 
这两个月不少小型建筑股都开始发力,GADANG昨天价量齐升。而ECONBHD以及MITRA也在这两个月内突破了历史新高。不过今天跟大家聊到的是【金轮法王】 KIMLUN,这家公司在5月30日交出不错的业绩。现在手握1,820 mil的合约,Order Book/Annual Revenue = 1.88,这代表着这家公司可以持续忙碌到2017年底。
 
以下是KIMLUN最近9个季度的业绩盈利,希望对大家会有帮助。
 

  • KIMLUN在2015年的营业额是1,053 mil, 比2014年的1,219 mil低了很多。不过盈利却从45.095 mil上涨到2015年的70.702的Mil。
  • 不过公司在2015年有高达6.258 mil的外汇盈利,原因KIMLUN在新加坡也有建筑业务。
  • 不过来到2016年Q1, 马币走强导致公司蒙受3.206 mil的外汇亏损,这跟其他出口公司是一样的情形。
  • 假设排出外汇盈利/亏损,最新季度Operating profit是25.921 mil,比上个季度的25.237 mil还高了一些。
  • 我们都知道外汇是Extra bonus,所以看到KIMLUN的Operating profit有所进步,这是很令人欣慰的事情。
  • 公司在2015年的Profit Margins是6.7%,比2014年的3.7%进步了很多。而2016年继续进步到7.3%, 只要继续维持下去,2016年的盈利可期。
  • 而公司在2016年豪取950 mil的合约,截至3月31日的合约是1,820 mil。
  • KIMLUN现在手握的现金为58.21 mil,比上个季度减少了36 mil。主要是因为公司偿还了30 mil的Borrowing以及16 mil的 Trade payable。所以公司现在的每股净债务 = 25仙。
  • 而公司这个季度的Cash Flow为负数 = - 34.081 mil, 主要是因为公司偿还了不少债务。
  • 不过NTA却从上个季度的1.53进步到1.59, D/E ratio从0.36减少到0.28。整体上现金虽然减少了,但是资产债务表却更加健康了。
  • 相比2014Q1的Total Borrowing是204.905 mil,现在Borrowing减低到134.433 mil。主要也是公司在2014年有4:1的Right Issue,帮助改善了公司的现金流。
  • 只要公司未来可以继续努力还债,加上大笔合约在手, KIMLUN的前景是令人期许的。
  • 而且公司公布了5.8仙的股息,大约相等于3%,在建筑领域里算是非常出色的。


技术面来看,MACD的出现买进Signal,而成交量前几天开始缓慢增长。在经历了一个月半的横摆,公司的成交量今天暂是707,400股,上半天突破了1个月的成交量新高,今天很可能会突破1,000,000股的成交量。

【金轮法王】股价最高曾经去到了RM1.95, 现在趁着建筑趋势发烧,RHB给出RM2.13的Target Price或许不是空谈。

以上纯属分享,买卖自负。

Harryt30
11.40a.m.
2016.06.08
http://harryteo.blogspot.my/2016/06/1299-kimlun5171-1820milpe-8-58.html

2016年6月3日星期五

Kim Lun - Better Margin Promising Prospect? (3) - YiStock


Author: YiStock   |   Publish date: Thu, 2 Jun 2016, 01:33 PM 


Kim Lun has released it Q1 2016 report. I'm glad that the Margin continue to expand for both Construction & Manufacturing segment.
Kim Lun is on track MOVING UP THE VALUE CHAIN!
A quick look on the construction sector with operating margin exceeded 10% (vs 6.6% in 2015 Q1) and manufacturing closed to 39% (vs 24% in 2015 Q1).
Kim lun has exposure to SGD mostly on the precast concrete segment, therefore it has  UNREALIZED loss of RM 3.2 million recorded in Q1 2016. Because it is unrealized, so i included into the calculation to derive the core net profit. The sum is expected to be reversible in Q2 2016 as 1 SGD has touched RM 3.00 again yesterday )
Both y-o-y and q-o-q has recorded growth in dollar value and in margin!
With close to RM 1,820 mil contract in hand, the earning visibility is clear!
With that sum of order book, i suppose they have lesser pressure and should be able to selectively bid for higher margin contract. 
Plus, as front runner in IBS system, Kim Lun should have all the advantage against peers. 

2014年7月6日星期日

- Tunnels of Lights

The latest announcement from the ECB to cut rates as a bold measures to fight against the risk of deflation by putting a record low of 0.15% on the interest rates will be going to see fresh bullishness in the equities market again. The DJIA challenge above 16800, putting a foot hold at 16836.11 (+98.58) earlier today as the market continues to see a bullish run for the coming days as major continent in the world continues to maintain a loose monetary policy in a means to encourage more market activities.

While KLSE had been still lurking in the low, I believe this will be a good time to hunt into some good and cheap stocks that had yet to saw large rally. One of them that is attractive to me is - Kimlun

Let's have a quick outlook on Kimlun's recent share price movement.
Kimlun had been consolidating at the region of RM 1.60 after challenging above RM 1.70 prior to the weak market sentiment that had saw a broad weaker volume on the market. However, as consolidation starts to saturate at the region, Kimlun will be looking to see a fresh interest of buying in the coming days that could be looking forward to challenge above RM 1.70 in the coming days. Kimlun fundamentals had been going good and strong as the company


Kimlun had started off as a infrastructure construction company in the early days. However, Kimlun had started to venture into properties development as of recently which had saw a strong reception in their projects.

Kimlun 1Q FYE 2014 net earnings had risen to RM 19.5m, marking a 117% increase from the previous quarter. While the 1Q FYE 2014 had been earmarked with a one off disposal gain of RM 10.8m from the Nilai land which had also pared down gearing.



Kimlun had been in the lime light as of recent prior to the bullish segment in the major infrastructural projects, especially in the KVMRT tunneling projects. To recall, Kimlun had won RM 1.1b worth of construction jobs last year with most of them during the 2H of 2013.

Of all construction company, we are favorable with the management team of Kimlun in delivering their projects timely and a good cost controlling management. Whilst most of the construction company involved in KVMRT project had suffered from overblown cost albeit their large order book, for Kimlun to make it on a green note with a profit margin of approx 10% on their project value had made them exceptional amongst the other construction company. Beside construction revenue, Kimlun also benefit from it's manufacturing division for the supply of tunnel lining segments to the KVMRT project.

Kimlun on a new venture

Kimlun latest venture in the properties in Cyberjaya dubbed The HYVE had saw exceptional reception in their launch. The HYVE, a total GDV of RM 240m had saw takes up of more than 80% already.

To date, Kimlun is sitting on an unbilled property sales of approximately RM 150m.

Kimlun will be planning their new bungalow projects with approximately RM 120m in GDV at Shah Alam after acquiring the land from Melati Ehsan. Although government had been putting in cooling off measure in the property market, the niche market in the bungalow segment will continue to see demand.

Kimlun will be officially launching it's Medini Opus in Johor that is carrying a GDV of RM 446m. The launch will continue to see contribution into the FYE 2014-2015 of Kimlun.


I believe Kimlum will be a good company to be invested due to their strong fundamentals. Kimlun's current order book stands at RM 2.1billion, and will be expecting more to come into their hand in the 2H of 2014.

Kimlun will be a good company to be invested in due to
- Strong order book of RM 2.1b that will be keeping them busy for the coming 2 to 3 years.
- Diversified into properties division that make their revenue less reliable for tenders.
- Strong management team with good cost controlling measurement.
- Involvement in KVMRT Line 1.
- Robust KVMRT growth prospect as Kimlun involves in the manufacturing of Tunnel Lining Segment (TLS) and the Segmental Box Griders (SBG)
- Outward expansion with foreign project secured - Singapore MRT
- Bullish outlook in the construction sector in 2014 and 2015 which is fueled by KVMRT Line 2, PR1MA Housing Construction, Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development.

We believe Kimlum will be able to see more projects secured in the 2H of 2014, possibly inching near RM 3b in the coming days. A short term outlook will see Kimlun trading towards RM 1.70, as a long term outlook will see Kimlun touching at RM 1.90.

Bone's short term TP: RM 1.70

Cheers and happy trading.

2014年6月3日星期二

KimLun

(吉隆坡2日讯)丰隆投银研究(Hong Leong IB Research)维持金轮机构(KimLun,5171,建筑组)的“守住”评级,但将此股的目标价格由早前的每股1.63令吉下调至1.54令吉。
丰隆投银研究在今日发表的报告中表示,金轮机构在首季中录得的1千990万令吉强劲税后归属股东净利(PATAMI),是受到价值达4千646万令 吉的汝莱(Nilai)土地一次过脱售活动所激励。报告中显示,该公司的核心首季盈利达910万令吉,分别占该行和大市预测的19%至20%。
该行指出,预测的差距来自于金轮机构旗下建筑业务所录得的较低赚幅,因该公司目前正在进行数项高档项目,而Hyve的认购率则低于预期。报告中说:“有鉴于此,我们将金轮机构本财年至2015财政年的预测下调20%至22%。”
丰隆投银研究接着说:“我们同时也基于金轮机构不变的本财年中每股盈利本益比10倍,将此股的目标价格由原本的每股1.63令吉调低至1.54令吉。”
另一方面,金轮机构向交易所报备的文告中透露,该公司在截至2014年3月31日止的首季中,取得1千946万5千令吉的净利,较去年同期的895 万5千令吉剧增117.37%!其同期营业额则达到3亿3千508万3千令吉,较去年同期的2亿1千440万3千令吉剧升56.29%!
文告中提到,盈利成长是受到旗下建筑、产业发展,以及制造与贸易业务的营业额增加所提振。

金轮机构说:“董事局料2014年对金轮机构来说是个令人振奋的一年,因为在截至今年3月31日止即录得了约达20亿9千万令吉的订单预测值,而规 模不少的订单价值伴随着从Hyve方面所获得的未入账产业销售额1亿3千100万令吉。其70%的认购率料可为金轮机构带来良好的盈利可视度。”