2016年5月18日星期三

From Permafrost to Precipitation - how so many got trapped in sumatech (SudahTrap) & IFCA (Calvin


Author: calvintaneng   |   Publish date: Wed, 18 May 2016, 01:06 AM 

The Eight  Stages  of A Hot Air Balloon Stock

Stage No. 1.  PermaFrost
Snow that is frozen for 2 or more years are called permafrost
perma - as in perma-nent
frost - be freezed over
This is the stage of a really dead stock that no research house will bother. Not a single soul is interested.  The exception must be the only one in ten thousand who dare to buy any.
Stage No. 2. Thawing
Frozen Solid Ice starts to thaw or soften a little
A very slight passing glance by some value investors or deep value hunters. Only the very brave who SEE VALUE Will dare to buy some.
Stage No. 3 ICE Now Turning to Cold Water.
Some brave souls dare to venture in. Of course it's cold. Every where people pour scorn and cold water on the stock. Very few pay any attention. Remarks are usually negative. From Remisiers, fund managers, one and all. Same conclusion - the stock is not in their investment radar. So most reject it..
Stage 4. Cold Water no longer cold. It is now at room temperature.
Ha! there is a little attention paid by value investor. For the rest it is neither cold nor hot. So lukewarm response. No longer negative like before. But not positive either. A few hopeful investor  starts to accumulate.

Stage 5 Water starts to boil
Ha! the heat or fire cause the water to stir a little now. There is warm and movement.
Company reports a good quarter. Or some great contract awarded - real or assumed. Some by merger news. Some favourable factors due to ringgit crash and strong US Dollar translating into higher profits. Or cheap oil benefiting rubber glove, logistic stock like transport or airline. There is now a stir in the stock.
Newspapers, analysts, experts, punters and all are paying attention now. More people talk about it in internet forum and even the media reports it.
Buyers are coming in and there is a great stir at last. Things are now coming alive. Prices moving upward. Many are making   monies.

Stage 6. Boiling Water Turning Very Hot in the kettle. The water now churning in violent waves in the pot or kettle with steaming hot movements.
At long last the stock is very hot. Post after post by i3 forum member. All are universally drawn and sucked in. Like insects flying into bornfire at night there is a red hot wild attraction. As more people telling how they made killings in the stock market even more and more people are drawn into the red hot hot stock.
Those who made money early are now piling more and more monies into the red hot stock. Some even go into margin account to buy more.
Prices leap up to the cheers of all and sundry. Everyone is so happy. Happy in a sure winner. Emotion is now flying high. Any opposing view is slammed down in a frenzy. Reason is now overtaken by exuberance.

Stage No. 7. Hot Steam Rises Up The Sky As Hot Air To Form Cloud
All are now in cloud nine. Naysayers are condemned and proven wrong. The sky is the limit for the price. Can now fly to the moon or mars. More monies piled in. More suckers drawn in by greed.
This is the happiest time for all. But throwing all caution to the wind this is also now the most dangerous time to hold or buy more.
In Bursa every day the hot stock is traded in top 10 volumes
In internet forum this is the stock conversation revolves around day and night. Media reports it and tell why it should go even higher. Experts suddenly appear to tell you this time is different. The sky is the limit. Or the sky is not limit. It should fly to outer space.
See example:
Sumatech has a total of  121,603 posts
121,603 POSTS? AMAZING INDEED!
And 123 people clicked like for sumatech
All finally caught in SudaTrap

 123 people like this.
   Showing 10 of 121603 comments. Show more comments
SejukSam any news on this sumatec?
17/05/2016 17:31

Hmmm?
IFCA Also got many posts & likes
55 people like this. (IFCA)
   Showing 10 of 45505 comments. Show more comments

Hmmm?
Airasia also look like one now with 40,978 hot hot comments
66 people like this. (airasia)
   Showing 10 of 40978 comments. Show more comments


Stage No. 8 Precipitation - Cloud falls down and crash back to earth in torrential rain.
All caught holding high flying shares on the steep fall to earth are in despair. This is the ultimate result for those who chased hot hot stocks at the very peak = total loss and bankruptcies.

See from permafrost to precipitation stocks

SUMATEC RESOURCES BERHAD [S] (1201)


SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD (1201) Chart


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   2 people like this.
   Showing 8 comments.
stockmanmy Genting kills many customers every year , still got good business after 40 years.



Why not stocks?
18/05/2016 01:29
stockmanmy Calvin


On the contrarian, most people would find it easier to cut loss on non fundamental stocks and goring stocks such as this.


It is the so called value investments that fall from grace that traps a lot of people.
18/05/2016 01:51
strategisst Calvin,

You miss on hibiscus which is the worst... kihkihkih
18/05/2016 08:52
calvintaneng strategisst Calvin,

You miss on hibiscus which is the worst... kihkihkih
18/05/2016 08:52

Yes see my comments on hibiscus


MP Corp versus XOX, Hibiscus & Hubline.---- Compare & Contrast Their Prospect & Fortunes
Author: calvintaneng | Publish date: Fri, 19 Feb 2016, 09:08 AM

XOX - As the warning indicates

X = Sharp Crossed Blades

0 = A picture of the human head

X = Sharp Crossed Blades



All who put their heads out above 60 cents, 50 cents, 40 cents, 30 cents & 20 cents gor their heads chopped off

How to make money in telcos. Market already saturated with Celcon, axis, Digi, YES, P1, StreamX, U Mobile & Redtone

Redtone is throwing price at only Tm8.00 for new starter kit.

How to make mney for XOX? Just THINK?



Hibiscus

Sumatech, Perisai, Alam, Scomi all impacted badly by falling Oil Prices.

Hibiscus has not even found a drop of oil.

Can buy? Just THINK?
18/05/2016 09:36
speakup buy skpetro
18/05/2016 09:37
Apollo Ang average more and more lah.....haha
18/05/2016 10:56
Mat Cendana I don't know why some people are so angry at Calvin. To the extent of hurling obscenities. As with the AirAsia post. It's as if the post will result in the counter crashing.

This one is "Calvin's Blog". As in "He can write whatever he wants". Let him say anything he wants. Some people may be influenced, some not. Calvin may be wrong. Or he may be right. If you don't agree with him, why not write your own post and provide some argument as to why his analysis is wrong. Or you can just ignore. After all, Calvin's posts by themselves won't affect the prices. But to shower him with obscenities just shows the mentality of the person commenting. Just live and let live...let people write what they want at their blogs.
18/05/2016 17:49
wongchin Yah i like to read calvin post. He commented well on some bad stock. And i do follow some of his advice on certain call. Js keep writing mr calvin. Sure there r people who like n dislike yr posting. To me its no harm to listen to a guru. After all in stock market there is no absolutely right or wrong. Only *tomorrow can tell who is right or wrong. People say feng shui master can bluff u 10 or 8 years. Mr calvin wont.
18/05/2016 23:21

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