2014年2月27日星期四

Sino Grandness

  - FY2013 Financial Statement Analysis (FEB 2014)

Snapshot of Income Statement

Income Statements. Source: Company, Jack Phang Compilation
The EPS grew 25% to 68 cents for financial year ended 31 December 2013 compared to the net profit growth of 38% mainly due to the dilution effect of shares placement amounted to S$82M during FY2013.
Financial Ratio. Source: Company, Jack Phang Compilation
Apart from that, we could see a rather stable net profit margin for FY2012 and FY2013 despite a product mix changes. The company increased the distribution cost ratio as it has started the business strategy to focus on domestic market as advertising & promotion costs and transportation costs across provinces increased according to the product under its own brand name Garden Fresh against white labeling export business mainly canned vegetables.


Snapshot of Balance Sheet


Balance Sheet - Assets. Source: Company, Jack Phang Compilation
Balance Sheet - Equity & Liabilities. Source: Company, Jack Phang Compilation
PPE more than doubled to RMB767M from RMB371M 2 years ago as the company increased capital expenditures on the domestic products (beverages & canned products) expansion plan. As a result of increasing credit sales, receivables ballooned to RMB895M from RMB298M 2 years ago. Cash conversion cycle increased to in between 4 months to 5 months.

As convertible bonds are expected to be redeemed this year, the company categorized convertible bonds under current liabilities instead of non-current liabilities. I would expect the company to get the beverages division (Garden Fresh) listed successfully in Hong Kong exchange as it has fulfilled the net profits target set under convertible bond terms & condition.

Snapshot and Comments on Cash Flow Statement

Overall, the company still managed to achieve a decent ROE of more than 30% and EPS growth of around 25%. Cash flow wise, the company was capable to maintain a positive net cash flow from operating for the full year 2013, which is a reverse trend from previous quarters. As the company

Risk

  • If Garden Fresh failed to be listed successfully, the company may end up have to make a huge repayment on convertible bonds which I believe to be funded from shares rights issues and it would dilute the EPS in future. 
  • I noticed that the gross profit margin of oversea canned products dropped to around 30% as the cost of production increases. Nonetheless, domestic canned products sales is playing a catch up against oversea canned products as the domestic to oversea profit margin percentage has been increased from 22.9% to 39% on year 2013. 

If we use a Sum Of The Part (SOTP) model, we could roughly calculate intrinsic value of Sino Grandness if Garden Fresh is listed successfully:

13X of 50% of Garden Fresh shareholdings - RMB2,031.25M
7X of Sino Grandness's canned products business - RMB1,596M
Total Value - RMB3,627.25M / S$756M / S$1.29

As there is a risk over there, so I would give a discount of 30% of the above value, so I would think 90 cents is intrinsic value of Sino Grandness based on current condition.

P/S: Please note that this company is still in the midst of expansion and there maybe a chance for company to raise up the cash from financing activities again this year if they could not manage increasing receivables effectively due to increased business activities. And as it is a S-Chip company, so we have no choice but to keep a close eye on it. This counter is only suitable for investors who have high risk profile.


Sino Grandness - Spin Off Exercise In Progress (FEB 2014)

Company's News Release

SINGAPORE – 26 February 2014 – Mainboard-listed Sino Grandness Food Industry Group Limited 中华食品工业集团有限公司 (“Sino Grandness” or “the Company” and together with its subsidiaries, the “Group”), a Shenzhen, China based integrated producer and distributor of own-branded juices and canned fruits and vegetables is pleased to announce its unaudited results for the twelve months ended 31 December 2013 (“FY13”).

As a result of higher orders across the board, especially that of own-branded products such as 鲜绿园® (“Garden Fresh”) juices from beverage segment and 振鹏达® (“Grandness”) canned fruits from domestic canned products segment, net profit attributable to equity holders for the Group increased by 38.5% to RMB401.1 million in FY13 compared to RMB289.7 million in the same period last year (“FY12”).
For the three months ended 31 December 2013 (“4Q13”), the Group reported net profit attributable to equity holders of RMB59.4 million, declining by 9.2% from RMB65.5 million in the same quarter last year (“4Q12”).

Mr Huang Yupeng 黄育鹏, Chairman and CEO of Sino Grandness said, “I am pleased to deliver another positive set of results for FY13 with record revenue and net profit. The robust results reflected strong growth momentum across both our own-branded business segments namely beverage and domestic canned products. Both these segments are key beneficiaries of the positive macro factors in China such as increased health awareness, rising disposable income and growing demand for convenience food and beverage products. At the end of 2013, not only have we completed installation of fruit juice production facilities at the new plant in Hubei Province, China (“Hubei Plant”), we also successfully expanded our distributor base for Garden Fresh juices nationwide comprising more than 200 distributors and covering more than 20 provinces in China. As such, we can look forward to another exciting year ahead with a larger customer base and expanded production capacity.”

“In 4Q13, we reported lower net profit year-on-year partly due to a significant increase in administrative expenses. These administrative expenses included higher depreciation charge from the new Hubei Plant, higher foreign exchange losses as well as expenses incurred for engaging the relevant professional parties such as investment banks and legal counsels to commence work related to the Proposed Spin-Off of our beverage segment as announced on 1 July 2013,” Mr Huang added.

In FY13, the Group recorded higher sales across the board for all product segments. In particular, sales of beverage segment which comprised Garden Fresh juices and domestic canned products segment which comprised Grandness canned fruits surged the most. Beverage segment sales surged 59.5% to RMB1,392.4 million in FY13 from RMB873.2 million in FY12 while sales of domestic canned products jumped 70.5% to RMB189.2 million in FY13 from RMB111.1 million in FY12. Domestic demand for the Group’s own-branded products grew significantly in FY13 largely due to increased production capacities, growing consumer acceptance and continued expansion of distribution network within the PRC market.

Overall sales of overseas canned products improved slightly in FY13, as the Group has a diversified customer base distributing its products across major discount stores and supermarkets in various countries across Europe and in Australia. In FY13, sales of overseas canned products segment rose 5.1% to RMB689.5 million from RMB655.9 million in FY12, largely driven by steady demand for its key export product category namely asparagus.

In FY13, sales of beverage segment which comprised Garden Fresh bottled juices surged 59.5% to new high of RMB1,392.4 million from RMB873.2 million in FY12 due to further expansion of retail points in the PRC market and positive response to the expanded range of Garden Fresh juices. The strong order momentum also reflected the success of the trade exhibition held during last week of March 2013 in Chengdu, Sichuan Province PRC (“Chengdu Trade Exhibition”) as announced in April 2013. The Group announced on 15 April 2013 that it had secured multiple new distributors thus expanding its distribution network in the PRC market further as well as sizeable indicative orders after participation at the Chengdu Trade Exhibition. Additionally, the Group also launched new beverage products such as loquat-mango juices as well as new soft-pack and tin-can loquat juices.

In FY13, sales of Garden Fresh loquat juice product line have exceed RMB985.7 million while sales of Garden Fresh Hong Guo Le product line, which comprised various fruits including hawthorn, have exceeded RMB406.6 million.

Optimistic Outlook

The rising disposal income per capita, increasing demand for health promoting products as a result of heightened health awareness in China are positive factors which may offer tremendous growth opportunities for the food and beverage (“F&B”) industries in China. As such, the Group remains optimistic about the growth prospects of its own-branded products including 鲜绿园® (“Garden Fresh”) juices and 振鹏达® (“Grandness”) canned fruits in China.

To capitalize on the potential growth opportunities ahead, the Group will continue to focus on four key areas to drive growth, namely:-
1. Advertising and promotional activities to further increase awareness and brand value of Garden Fresh juices and Grandness canned products;
2. Sales and marketing efforts to expand its distribution network for domestic and international markets;
3. Expansion of production capacity at strategic locations and
4. Research and development efforts to expand its range of products in order to appeal to a broader group of consumers.

The Group’s sustained efforts in building brand value have yielded positive results as evidenced by the growing brand awareness and brand equity. In November 2013, the Group announced that its in-house brand Garden Fresh has been valued at RMB3.5 billion according to a Brand Value Data Certificate issued Asia Brand Association Experts Committee and Asia Brand Research Centre.

The Group will continue to participate in various exhibitions and tradeshows in order to expand its distribution network and increase awareness of our in-house brands. Over the past few years, the Group has regularly showcased its beverage and canned products at one of the largest F&B tradeshows held annually in Chengdu, Sichuan Province China (“Chengdu Tradeshow”). As at 31 December 2013, the Group has expanded its distributor base for Garden Fresh juices nationwide comprising more than 200 distributors and covering more than 20 provinces in China. In the upcoming Chengdu Tradeshow to be held during the first half of 2014, the Group intends to seize the opportunity to introduce new products and expand its distributor base further.
Barring unforeseen circumstances, the Group remains optimistic about its overall performance in FY2014.

Update on Proposed Spin-off

On 1 July 2013, the Group announced that it is proposing to spin-off its beverage business segment under its wholly-owned subsidiary, Garden Fresh (HK) Fruit & Vegetable Beverage Co., Limited and its group of subsidiaries for a listing on an internationally recognised stock exchange (“Proposed Spin-Off”).
During the quarter ended 31 December 2013 (“4Q13”), the Group has engaged relevant professional parties including international investment bankers and legal counsels to commence work related to the Proposed Spin-Off. The Company will keep shareholders updated on material developments as and when appropriate.

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