2014年7月9日星期三

DBS Equity Research Spore: Wired Daily 9 Jul 2014


Author: kiasutrader   |   Publish date: Wed, 9 Jul 13:46   |  >> Read article in Blog website

Offshore Oil & Gas Services - OSV sector remains sanguine. Top picks: Ezion and Nam Cheong

We hosted some of Singapore's premier offshore support companies at our Pulse of Asia conference last week which attracted many investors. The companies agree that the offshore support vessel market remains strong with continued enquiries for tonnage, and rates are stable. There have been concerns about possible capex (capital expenditure) cuts by some international oil companies, but what most experts agree on is that development and production opex (operating expenditure) remain buoyant. Continued opex spend in offshore E&P space will benefit Ezion and POSH.

The opening up of Mexico's energy sector means incremental opportunities for Offshore Support Vessel (OSV) players. Pacific Radiance has recently set up a JV in Mexico to explore the possibility of deploying some of its existing orderbook, while Nam Cheong has sold four vessels in this market already. POSHis an established player in the market, and despite facing near term issues at its JV, is likely to keep a presence there. Indonesia remains the bright spot in Asia. Top picks: Ezion and Nam Cheong. We raised our target price for Nam Cheong to S$0.52 after we rolling over the valuation base to blended FY14/15 earnings, in line with better visibility and continued vessel sale momentum.

SIIC Environment Holdingsis placing up to 1,000m shares at the placement price of S$0.158 per Placement Share. The Placement Shares will represent approximately 10.43% of the enlarged issue share capital while the Placement Price represents a discount of 8.56% to the last volume-weighted average price. The estimated net proceeds of about S$154.8m will be used to finance the Group's business expansion, enlarge the general working capital of the Group, to repay existing borrowings, and for general corporate purposes.

Overall, this share placement is positive in strengthening SIIC's balance sheet to grow for more acquisitions. The cash proceeds will lower net gearing to 0.28x from 0.4x at the end of 1Q14. But, it would dilute earnings by approximately 12% in the near term until the company achieves immediately earnings accretive acquisitions to offset these dilution. Hence, we have lowered our target price to S$0.22 following dilution of this placement.

Yoma Strategic Holdings has entered into an agreement with Mitsubishi Corporation (MC) to provide sales support for Bridgestone tires in Myanmar. MC and Bridgestone, the world's top tire maker by market share, already have a series of tire manufacturing and sales joint ventures in South East Asia, particularly in Thailand, Vietnam and Malaysia.

Moody's expects local banks to post weaker profits over the next 12-18 months on higher loan-loss provisions for overseas operations and a modest uptick in interest rates next year. The banks' margins - measured on a net interest basis - are also among the thinnest compared with those of their Asian peers in advanced economies that include Australia, China and Hong Kong. The weak margins from Singapore banks reflect a saturated domestic market, and the lenders' conservative nature in making foreign loans - which made up 47% of all their loans at the end of last year, according to Moody's. Lack of scale also hinders them from benefiting from regional expansion.

Low Keng Huat, which last August acquired 15 commercial units and an apartment at Balestier Towers for nearly $77.4m, yesterday exercised options to purchase the balance 36 units in the mixed-use development for slightly above $63.9m. The group plans to redevelop the 29,986-sq-ft site into a mixed residential and commercial development.

Nervousness that corporate earnings may not match the current high market valuation led to a drop in US stocks. High PE stocks such as Twitter Inc. and Pandora Media Inc. tumbled. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index fell as its component stocks sold off. The S&P 500 trades at a valuation of 18x reported earnings, the highest since 2011. The Federal Reserve will release minutes from its June meeting tomorrow. Officials are debating the timing for the first increase in the main interest rate. After the bell, Alcoa reported 2Q earnings and sales that beat analysts' expectations after an increase in the price of aluminium including regional delivery premiums.

Source: DBS

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