2014年10月10日星期五

CIMB Group - Moving Forward


Author: PublicInvest   |   Publish date: Fri, 10 Oct 12:16

Details of this year‟s mega-deal to create the nation‟s largest banking group were revealed  yesterday,  which  will  essentially  see  RHB  Capital  (RHB)  being  the acquirer and eventual listed entity, and the subsequent de-listings of CIMB Group (CIMB)  and Malaysia Building Society  (MBSB)  post-  asset and liability disposals. Part  of  the  exercise  will  involve  CIMB  Islamic  Bank  acquiring  the  assets  and liabilities of both  RHB Islamic Bank and MBSB  to create the mega Islamic bank as announced three months ago. A share swap on the basis of 1 RHB share for every 1.38 CIMB share held  will then be undertaken. While we feel the implied valuation of CIMB Group is a little underwhelming at RM7.27 or  a  1.7x price-to-book  ratio, this particular mode of transaction is most lik ely the best solution to avoid potential shareholder  impasses.  We  are  positive  on  the  deal,  but  our  call  is  lowered  to Neutral  however,  with  the target price capped at RM7.27. Coverage on CIMB will be on-going until completion of the deal.
How? A share swap which values CIMB at RM7.27 per share (1.7x priceto-book  @  30/6/14),  RHB  at  RM10.03  per  share  (1.44x)  and  MBSB  at RM2.82  per  share  (1.91x).  CIMB  shareholders  will  own  70%  of  the merged entity, RHB the balance.
Why?  Group Chairman Dato Sri Nazir Razak highlighted 5 key reasons why this deal was necessary, 1) it achieves the scale necessary  for the enlarged  group to  compete in  the  ASEAN  community  space,  while  also cementing  its  position  as  Top  5  within  the  region,  2)  it  achieves economies  of  scales  with  synergistic  benefits,  3)  it  is  a  compelling financial  proposition  for  CIMB  Group  shareholders  as  the  deal  is  EPS accretive though ROE dilutive in the near term higher, 4) it allows for a rebalancing of its geographical portfolio and to tap on each entity‟s core strengths, and 5) it creates a new growth engine in Islamic finance
What  now?  Bank  Negara  Malaysia  approval  has  been  sought,  after which  due  diligence  will  be  undertaken.  A  definitive  Sale  and  Purchase Agreement  will  be  signed  in  early  2015  after  which  consent  of  other regulators and shareholders will be sought. Full completion of the deal is expected mid-2015. On the issue of the Employees Provident Fund being allowed to vote, management anticipates this to not be a deal-breaker if otherwise given the value proposition on-hand.
Source: PublicInvest Research - 10 Oct 2014

没有评论:

发表评论