2013年12月16日星期一

最会赚钱的15种人

最会赚钱的15种人

最会赚钱的15种人
1、很聰明的人   

讀書學習好與壞與做生意賺錢完全是兩碼事,書讀的好,生意不一定做的好,做生意需要頭腦靈活多變,想到就要做到。   

2、辦事能力和辦事效率很強的人   

一旦有賺錢的生意馬上一步一個腳印的去做,要付諸於行動,敢做、敢實踐,只有這樣才能抓住機會。   

3、不安於現狀,不斷努力的人   

一輩子捧著“鐵飯碗”的人,永遠沒有賺錢的機會,“夠用就行,要那麼多錢幹嘛“這句話是那些賺不到錢的人聊以自慰的“名言”。   

4、真正受過窮的人

就像“貌不驚人“的男人一心一意的追求漂亮的女孩,往往能成功一樣,受窮的人因為感受到了貧窮的切膚之痛,而愈有賺錢的慾望和精神。   

5、有人生財富目標的人

一個人單調的上下班,把固定的工資存在銀行,年復一年,到頭來也攢不了很多錢。想賺大錢就要立志經商,而且目標也要水漲船高,選定奮鬥目標,一步步邁進。   

6、勤奮好動的人

多看、多想、多做、超越常理,出奇制勝,“鬼點子”越多越能賺錢。   

7、最能創新的人

做生意第一要決就是眼光獨到,想別人未想的事,走在別人前面,讓別人在後面追。例如:您發現一種商品很符合當地實情,判斷自己進回來一定暢銷,這是生意人掙錢的準則,等把市場鋪開了,別人跟風就晚了。   

8、很有自信心的人   

無論做什麼事首先要有信心,相信自己是最優秀的,最棒的,這樣您就能把自己最大的潛能發揮出來,信念是通向經商致富路上的指明燈。   

9、個性豪爽的人   

成功的企業家或商人都是爽快人,辦事豪爽,乾淨利落,不拖泥帶水。   

10、善於冒險果斷的人。   

辦事果斷,憑膽量論成敗。獨木橋的故事:有一座獨木橋,橋對面有一片豐碩的果林,果實又大又好,膽大的人,憑膽量快速走過獨木橋,摘得很多的碩果,而膽小的人,膽小不敢過橋,而沒有摘得一枚碩果。   

11、善於學習總結的人   

在平時的經商中,多與人交流,聽取別人的意見和想法,不斷總結,以豐富自己的經商經驗。   

12、能吃苦耐勞的人   

做生意的一年365天都不休息,風裡來雨裡去,生活沒有規律,搬運貨物相當辛苦,請您相信“天道酬勤”的道理。   

13、不斷進取的人   

遇到挫折不屈不撓,哪裡摔倒了就在哪裡爬起來。例如:您做一次不成功,兩次、三次……哪怕是做九十九次不成功。第一百次您成功了,那您這一生就是一個成功的人。  

14、善於抓住機遇的人   

在人們的生活中,在自己的身邊往往有很多的機遇,只是由於疏忽而沒有發現,讓機遇溜掉,或者是讓別人發現實施了,所以平時生活中對周圍的事物多看、多想、多做,對自己發現和創造機遇有很大的好處。   

15、珍惜時間的人   

浪費時間就等於浪費財富。對於經商的人來說“時間就是金錢”一點都有沒錯。賺錢靠的是珍惜時間,利用時間。天天早睡晚起做懶漢是賺不到更多的財富的。人的生命是有限的,特別是在年輕力壯,思維敏捷的年齡階段,多創造財富,老來才能享用。

油气旺旺旺

ONG - 油气旺旺旺


最近的股市好像都一直在炒作一个主题 - 油气领域。

HIBISCS
HIBISCS(大红花石油,5199,主板工业产品股)已经开始在阿曼(Oman)钻探油井,据说好像已经找到石油。虽然消息还没出街,但是已有很多股民一窝蜂的涌入买进这只股和它的凭单。

当然,消息一天还没出,这只股相信还会一直被推高。

要是消息一出,恐怕它将会涨得更凶,找到黑金喔!那利润是多么的丰厚啊!

就因为 HIBUSCS给了很多人一个希望,连带其他的特别用途公司(SPAC)如SONA和CLIQ,也被炒得火热。


BARAKAH
还有一家BARAKAH(巴拉卡岸外,7251,主板贸服股),前几天股价突然大涨,接着平稳走高。

今早9点26分突然暂停交易,股价上扬至RM1.56,公司又消息公布。虽然还不小的是什么消息,但是有传言说公司获得了国家石油公司(Petronas)的油气合约。



奇怪的是,油气股的大哥大SKPETRO最近反而没什么动静,是否在蓄势待发?

Plantation

Understanding Plantation Sector

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) price has fallen from a high of RM3,800/MT in early 2011 to RM2,300/MT now, which is about 40% down. 
       CPO price 2003-2013
Thus, plantation sector is rather "cold" at the moment and I thought it might be a good time to look for some undervalued plantation companies.

There are buy calls from some analysts on plantation stocks recently as the CPO price is widely expected to bottom out soon. However, after a brief screening through the plantation stocks, it seems like they are not cheap at all. Those with lower PE are going to suffer significant drop in earnings in current financial year.
Previously I have not studied a single plantation company or buy their shares as I don't know much about its business. Furthermore, almost all plantation companies' revenue and profit will not show a consistent growth that I usually look for. They fluctuate a lot according to various reasons such as CPO price.
I have heard of things like fresh fruit bunch, palm maturity profile, mills etc but never really know much about them.
However, it's good to know some basic about the plantation business so that we can act quickly when the chance arise.
I have found some useful info from the internet, mainly from MPOC (Malaysia Palm Oil Council). This information may be good for beginners like me.
Malaysia Oil Pam Industry Statistics

  • 4.49 million hectares land planted with oil palm
  • 17.73 million tonnes palm oil produced annually
  • 2.13 million tonnes palm kernel oil produced annually
  • Malaysia has 39% of world palm oil production
  • Malaysia has 44% of world palm oil export
  • Malaysia has 11% of world's oil & fat production
  • Malaysia has 27% of world's export of oil & fat
  • It is Malaysia 2nd largest export revenue
  • It makes up 3.2% of Malaysia GDP in 2008
       Annual CPO production in Malaysia
Oil Palm Trees
  • Takes 30 months after planting to start to bear fruits (produce revenue)
  • 4-7 years old trees are young palms & give less yield
  • 8-20 years old trees are considered at prime age & give higher yield
  • Trees >20 years are old and give less yield
  • Trees >25 years are very old, give less yield, difficult to harvest (tall) & are ready for replanting
  • Fresh fruit bunch (FFB) refers to a bunch of ripe fruits, measured in tonnes.
  • One hectare of oil palm plantation can yield 4-5 tonnes of FFB per year.
  • Oil palm is the most efficient oil-bearing crops in term of oil yield per hectare.
       Fresh Fruit Bunch (FFB)

Palm Oil
  • FFB can produce 2 types of oil: crude palm oil (from mesocarp) & crude palm kernel oil (from kernel /seed).
  • Palm oil can be refined into: palm olein (cooking oil) & palm stearin (shortening/margarine).
  • It is widely used in foods, cleaning agents & cosmetics. So the demand will grow with world population growth.
  • The demand of palm oil will be much higher if bio-fuel research is successful.
  • Palm oil faces competition from other plant-based oil source especially soybean oil from the America.
       Mesocarp (yellow) & kernel (white)

Palm Oil Processing
  • Harvested FFB will be sent to palm oil mills for processing to produce crude palm oil & crude palm kernel oil.
  • Big plantation companies will have their own palm oil mills but small estate holders usually don't.
  • CPO & CPKO will be further refined to get a wide range of palm products of specified quality.
  • Upstream operation involves planting, harvesting & processing of FFB to obtain CPO/CPKO.
  • Downstream operation involves further refining of CPO to obtain RBD palm oil (Refined, Bleached & Deodorized).
  • Some plantation companies in Malaysia involve solely in upstream and some bigger companies (IOI, Sime, KLK, FGV etc) have both.
Profitability & Quality of Plantation Company
  • Yield, in term of FFB in tonnes/hectare and oil extraction rate (OER). The higher the better
  • Palm trees maturity profile & replanting strategy
  • Available landbanks & land acquisition for future growth
  • Efficiency of estate management & cost control in day to day operation - labour, infrastructure, facilities, pesticides, transportation etc.
  • R&D to produce better seeds or system for higher yield.
  • Environmental friendly
  • Of course high ROE, ROA, DY and low D/E, PE.
Most plantation companies listed in Bursa Malaysia involve only in oil palm plantation. Some of them do have rubber, cocoa or coconut plantation but their contribution are relatively small.
For me, most of the plantation stocks PE are quite high now. I'm not sure what should be the acceptable PE of this sector though. 
Personally I still don't think it is a good time for me to buy my first plantation stock even though the CPO price is lowish. However, I will try to pick a good one into my watch list.
Anyone who have good recommendation or information are welcomed to share :)

GOB

Wednesday, 16 October 2013

Premium Outlet Ticked. What's Next?

Agreement related to Batu Kawan development signed again!
This time it is the Penang Premium Retail Outlet.
On 12th October 2013, Penang Development Corp (PDC) has signed a purchase and development agreement with Sarawak-based PE Land Sdn Bhd for the construction of premium retail outlet in Bandar Cassia, Batu Kawan.
The outlet will cost about RM200 million and was won by PE Land in an open tender. This is PE Land's first development in peninsular Malaysia. It operates Sarawak's largest shopping mall tHE Spring in Kuching. CB Richard Ellis (M) Sdn Bhd will act as the principal consultant for the project.
This is part of the development in a 16-ha land (40 acres) which will include a 300-room international-class hotel, cafes, F&B outlets, landscaped garden and residential units, which forms part of the mixed development in Bandar Cassia called Penang Designer Village with a GDV of RM1 billion.
The premium outlet is expected to be completed within 3 years.
Next announcement that may follow perhaps is about the proposal of International Theme Park and golf course, in which the deadline for proposal submission is on 31 Oct 2013.

With so many good news flowing in Batu Kawan recently, one property developer will be a definite instant beneficiary - Global Oriental, who is the only developer with on-going residential projects there besides PDC. However, I think other developers will make their move once the 2nd bridge is completed.

       GOB upcoming launch: Camellia - 3 storey courtyard villas


       GOB's Crescentia Park at Bandar Cassia
After Bayan Baru and Seberang Jaya, Bandar Cassia will be PDC's third satellite township development. The former two are very successful. How about Bandar Cassia?

Friday, 27 September 2013

UK Uni & KDU Land At Batu Kawan

If everything goes as planned, 10th Oct 2013 will mark the beginning of the first oversea university branch in Seberang Perai of Penang.
Local company PKT Logistic Group is expected to sign a franchise agreement with University of Hull UK to establish a university campus in Batu Kawan. The construction should start in 2014 and student intake should be in 2017.
University of Hull in Batu Kawan will offer pre-U programmes, degrees and post-graduate studies in electrical & electronics engineering, mechanical engineering, business study, logistic study, accountancy and law. Students can enroll in  the "3+0" programme and complete the whole study in Penang.
University of Hull was established in 1927 and is currently ranked no.53 among UK top universities. Anyway, I believe that most Malaysians know Hull because of its football team - The Tiger.
The 5-acre campus is located at the southern part of Batu Kawan and it is part of PKT's "One Auto Hub" project. This area was initially allocated for light industry. The premium outlet should be right opposite at the other side of the bridge.
       One Auto Hub should be the light blue colour area
One Auto Hub is a development that comprises a few components, which are The Ship campus (which is University of Hull campus), Lighthouse hotel, pavilion, automotive logistic facilities, warehouses, jetty, mangrove walk or animal sanctuary.
You may be wondering what the hell is this "The Ship" and is it related to one famous restaurant? No.
PKT Logistic has one such development in Selangor next to Kesas Highway which is called "One Logistic Hub". It has a few components such as The Ship, The Wave, The Lighthouse & The Sea of Pineapples. Here, "The Ship" is a warehouse and really looks like a ship externally and internally. Don't ask me why pineapples please, but pineapples are really planted there.
       One Logistic Hub - similar thing in Batu Kawan soon
Thus, "The Ship" in Batu Kawan's One Auto Hub is a university building & campus.

Besides University of Hull, local education group KDU will also set up a KDU university college on a 10-acre site in Batu Kawan. It will offer degrees in engineering, business, accounting, information technology, hospitality, culinary & tourism, mass communications, design and English. In the future, it is expected to become a full-fledged KDU university. Student enrollment is expected to start in year 2018.

Penang Development Corporation will sell a 30-acre land in the heart of Batu Kawan to Paramount Corporation Berhad, which is the parent company of KDU. Apart from the 10 acres land allocated for education, the other 20 acres will be used for mixed development. This means that after GOB & Malton, Paramount also has a share of Batu Kawan property feast.

       The site of KDU & Paramount land

       Approximate site of KDU & branch of University of Hull
Earlier in August 2013 PDC has held a request for proposal for the purchase, lease and development of a 87ha (215 acres) of international theme park and a 180ha (470 acres)18-hole golf course in the northern part of Batu Kawan. The closing date to submit the proposal is Oct 31. These development must be completed within 4 years after signing the agreement. Lets wait until November and see what kind of theme park is proposed.
       Theme park location as being pointed out
Since the 2nd bridge is still yet to complete, property development activity in Batu Kawan is currently restricted to GOB's project in Bandar Cassia, which is at the north of Batu Kawan. Its 22x40ft leasehold Callisia 2 double storey terrace houses which will obtain OC soon is asking for more than RM540k by someone in the subsale market. More expensive than the "luxury & big" DST in Jesselton Hill BM...

Anyway, Batu Kawan will be the third satellite modern township in Penang, after Bayan Baru and Seberang Jaya. All 3 areas have similarities such as supported by major industrial park and well-connected to the bridge. 
Nevertheless, though some big factories like Honda have started operation, the potential of Batu Kawan is still very much overlooked. 
We should be able to get a clearer picture after the completion of Penang second bridge which is scheduled to be on Nov 8 of 2013.

Private or government hospital next?

Thursday, 11 October 2012

Malton Enters Batu Kawan

Malton has announced on 10 October 2012 that, Silver Setup Sdn Bhd ("SSSB"), its wholly-owned subsidiary, had entered into a Joint Development Agreement with Batu Kawan Development Sdn Bhd (formerly known as Abad Naluri Sdn Bhd) for the proposed joint development of a piece of land situated at Batu Kawan, Mukim 13, Seberang Perai Selatan, Pulau Pinang measuring approximately 300 acres.
      A Thriving Township of the Future
This leasehold land is likely to be located at the southern region of Batu Kawan near Penang 2nd bridge. It is purchased by Abad Naluri in March 2011 from Penang Development Corporation for purpose of mixed commercial & residential development. 
     Is the above-mentioned land no.6?
The proposed development is estimated to be worth RM3.8bil and will be completed in phases over 10 years. Malton shall be entitled to 82% of the GDV base on the joint development agreement.
With the "handover" of this project to Malton, Equine should be able to concentrate on its Crescentia Park township project at the north of Batu Kawan.
Malton & Equine, who is a better developer?

Monday, 23 April 2012

Batu Kawan Development Plan

While the Penang Second Link is getting closer and closer towards completion, the property in Batu Kawan area is still not getting much attention.
So far, besides the Dedaun bungalow series, almost all other property development in Batu Kawan are low-medium cost home, without any major commercial development. This may be the reason most property investors think that this is not the time yet.
However, with the arrival of a few factories and the marvelous HDB-flat-like apartment in the area, the heat can be felt slightly now. Some rich folk may even start to think of getting one or few units of so-called affordable housing scheme apartment by the Penang government.
Besides PDC, which apparently owns a big chunk of land in Batu Kawan, Equine Capital also will play a major role in the development here. PDC has completed Dedaun phase 1 and a few Taman in the northern boundary. While Equine has just completed a few hundreds units of affordable landed houses at its Crescentia Park namely the Studio S, M, L & Clover.
     Crescentia Park: just 20% completed
From a glance of Batu Kawan future development plan, the current completed houses in Crescentia Park including the under-construction Callisia only comprises about 20% of the total area. Apart from this Crescentia Park, Equine seems to have another huge development at the southern area of Batu Kawan, which is a new 300-acres commercial hub.
     The new commercial hub is no.6 here
It is "rumoured" that Mahsing has already bought a piece of land here for development. Where can the land be? Is it the land below no.1 golf course? If it is true, then we can expect "better house & living" here, but don't expect it will come cheap!
     This 450-acres Eco-Township is the Crescentia Park.
     No.5 is for the affordable housing scheme.
      Not many area for industrial (purple) actually. Honda and Ibiden is there.
The housing area (brown colour) at the north of no.6 new commercial hub belongs to PDC's Dedaun phase 2, if not mistaken. So we can see that apart from those mentioned earlier: the Crescentia Park, state government affordable housing scheme and a few PDC's land at north & east of Batu Kawan, there will be no more residential area here.

Currently, Batu Kawan is still not a convenient place to live for many people. In the future, surely this will change, but how long will it takes? Five years or 10 years?

Friday, 9 March 2012

Batu Kawan: A Pearl Yet To Be Polished

Batu Kawan is slowly emerging as the next Bayan Lepas in Penang?
So far three multinational companies have committed themselves to invest in a new plant in Batu Kawan. They are Japanese Honda, Swiss VAT and German Bosch. Among all these three companies, the construction of VAT and Honda plants have already started and the first to begin its operation should be VAT, a vacuum valve maker, who should be able to produce its first valve here by the end of 2012 or even earlier in September. Honda's plant is expected to be completed by the first half of 2013.
     Honda plant: looks like it is near to the bridge
Unfortunately, Bosch's RM2.2 billion solar panel manufacturing project was delayed due to cost and design reasons. Its construction is supposed to start at end of last year. Bosch said that it will come out with a new cost-effective design by the end of 2012 then only the construction can start. Nevertheless, Bosch has signed the Sales & Purchase Agreement for the land with Penang government and paid 10% deposit.
      VAT plant: small scale
For property in Batu Kawan, the existing ones are Intan Cempaka, Villa Tanjung Permai, Teratai Idaman by PDC property at the northern border which is further from the second bridge located at the south of Batu Kawan. Nearer to the bridge, PDC has Halaman Seroja and Dedaun luxury bungalows. It seems like there will be Dedaun phase 2 in the future next to the phase 1.
      Dedaun bungalows with man-made lake
Another completed development here in Bandar Cassia is the Crescentia Park by Equine/Abad Naluri, which consists of mainly low-medium cost affordable landed homes. This project is known for its delay for almost 3 years and just obtained OC in the end of 2011.
      Crescentia Park low cost houses
Besides, the state government has come out with a RM2.7 billion Bandar Cassia Affordable House Scheme by PDC on an 80ha plot of land. This project is designed by Singapore-based Surbana and will have about 12,000 medium-cost housing units, three football fields, a man-made river and recreation parks. The units will be housed in high-rise buildings of between nine and 16 storeys and ranging from 800sq ft to 1,000sq ft. They are priced at between RM72,500 and RM220,000 each with a free car parking lot. This freehold project has a 10-year development period over five phases with the Phase 1 expected to be ready by 2014.
      Bandar Cassia Affordable House Scheme
There are quite a lot of new factories under construction at the nearby Penang Science Park. With the completion of Penang Second Bridge expected in the end of 2013, the south-west of Province Wellesley could see a significant growth in term of population, jobs, infrastructures and housing projects. Areas nearby Batu Kawan such as Tambun, Simpang Ampat, Jawi, Juru etc should be able to reap some benefits from it.
However, if Pakatan Rakyat lose Penang state in the coming general election, will it be a different story?

Latitude

Furniture Stocks Draw Attention

I came to know about Latitude Tree just last week. In the early morning of that day, I still never heard of this stock, but later in that day just before the market closed, I decided to add it into my portfolio.
It is rather impulsive. I saw its share price spiked after a magnificent quarterly financial result.
Latitud is a Malaysia-based furniture manufacturing company founded & controlled by Taiwanese. It started off as a manufacturer of dining chairs in 1988. Now it has grown into a complete medium to high end dining & bedroom sets manufacturer. It also produces living room collection sets and some office furniture.
There are quite a number of furniture manufacturers listed in Bursa Malaysia. I pick 4 of them to do a very simple & superficial comparison. They are:
  • Latitude Tree
  • Homeritz
  • Lii Hen
  • Poh Huat
* The information, figures, calculation & opinion provided below might not be accurate or true. Please do own research if in doubt.
Products
Company Products
Latitude Wooden furniture
Homeritz Upholstered furniture
Lii Hen Wooden furniture
Poh Huat Wooden furniture
Homeritz is different from all 3 others as it designs and manufactures upholstered home furniture such as leather and fabric-based sofas, dining chairs, bed frames etc. It also has its own brand Eritz since 2009.
The other 3 companies design and manufacture wood-based furniture. Both Latitude & Lii Hen concentrate on home furniture but Poh Huat manufactures both home & office furniture.
Market
All 4 companies export majority of their products to overseas which include the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Australasia & South Africa. 
Latitud exports 99% of its products, in which 92% are exported to the United States (FY2013). The rest are to Canada, Europe, Australia, South Affrica & Middle East. I think it still has a lot of room to expand its presence worldwide.
The other 3 companies claim that they export to more than 50 countries worldwide.
Homeritz's major export destination is Europe, which comprises 41% in FY2011. United States is Poh Huat's biggest export country (?%) while export to the Americas (North & South) makes up 77% of Lii Hen's revenue in 2013.
Facilitiy
Latitude has 3 factories in Malaysia, 2 in Vietnam & 1 in Thailand.
Homeritz & Lii Hen both have 5 factories each in Johor.
Poh Huat has 2 factories in Vietnam, while others in Malaysia, China & South Africa.
Latitude might be less affected by the effect of minimum wages and increased electricity tariff in Malaysia, as its mainly concentrates its production in Vietnam, while scaling down its Malaysia operation.
Market Capitalization

Latitude Homeritz Lii Hen Poh Huat
Share price 1.74 0.56 1.64 0.85
M/Cap (mil) 169.1 112.0 98.4 96.4
Latitude has biggest market cap followed by Homeritz.
Financial Performance
RM mil Latitude Homeritz Lii Hen Poh Huat
Revenue 493.7 112.9 346.5 392.0
PAT 24.4 15.1 21.3 15.2
Gross margin% 14.4 16.9 15.4 13.4
*Latitude FY2013 (end June13)
*Homeritz FY2013 (end Aug 13)
*LiiHen FY2012 (end Dec12)
*Poh Huat FY2012 (end Oct12)
Latitude sells more and earns more compared to others. However, Homeritz has the best gross margin even though its revenue is the lowest.
For latest financial result,
Latitude and Homeritz break previous years' earning record. Lii Hen & Poh Huat's 9MFY13 revenue & PAT are lower YoY but there is a special one-off loss for Poh Huat.
Balance Sheet
RM mil Latitude Homeritz Lii Hen Poh Huat
Total Asset 478.6 103.8 190.4 243.3
Total Liab 179.3 16.5 46.8 94.5
Cash 112.5 34.7 40.4 30.2
Borrowings 91.2 2.7 17.6 33.4





ROE (%) 10.5 20.2 15.9 10.7
D/E ratio Net cash Net cash Net cash 0.02
Almost all are in a net cash position.
Homeritz has the best ROE, while Latitude has the lowest ROE but still not too bad above 10%.
Dividend

Latitude Homeritz Lii Hen Poh Huat
Share price 1.74 0.56 1.64 0.85
Dividend (sen) 6.3 3.0 12.0 2.0
Div Yield % 3.6 5.4 7.3 2.4
Div Payout % 25.0 40.8 33.8 16.0
*Share price at 4th Dec 2013 close
*Base on previous full financial year total dividend
Homeritz & Lii Hen are more generous in their dividend payout. At current share price, Lii Hen has the best dividend yield, followed by Homeritz, Latitude and Poh Huat.
Value

Latitude Homeritz Lii Hen Poh Huat
Share price 1.74 0.56 1.64 0.85
EPS (sen) 25.07 7.56 35.5 14.04
PE 6.9 7.4 4.6 6.1
NTA 2.57 0.41 2.39 1.37
P/B 0.68 1.36 0.69 0.62
*EPS base on last full financial year earning
All 4 stocks have relatively low PE ratio. This shows that the furniture stocks are not popular and perhaps overlooked.
Due to recent spike in share price, Latitude's PE ratio has gone up from 5.3x to 6.9x. Lii Hen has a very low PE but it is anticipated that its upcoming FY2013 profit will be lower. All except Homeritz are trading below their book value.
       Homeritz's dining set
Out of all of these 4 companies, Homeritz stands out with best gross margin, best ROE, best dividend payout ratio, decent dividend yield and its recent financial results are good. That's why it's the "most expensive" one here.
As all 4 companies are export-orientated, I think they will have good time ahead as the US and Europe are slowly coming out from recession. US house sale seems to recover thus there will be more demand for furniture. The expected strengthening of US dollar will also improve exporters' earnings to a certain extent.
For me, I think Latitude is the best bet in furniture manufacturing, mainly because of its future earning prospect and low projected PE.
       Latitude's bedroom set
Latitude's latest FY14Q1 result records a 27% and 62% increase in revenue and net profit YoY, due to higher orders, production and sales, while the USD has strengthened only 3.6% between these two periods. Its FY14Q1 net profit already makes up 60% of FY2013 full year net profit.


RM mil FY14Q1 FY13Q4 FY13Q1
Revenue 177.1 124.4 139.7
PBT 20.7 9.4 12.2
PBT% 11.7 7.6 8.7
PAT 14.6 5.9 9.0




MAS Rev 28.9 23.2 29.2
MAS PBT 1.2 -1.0 0.8
VIET Rev 142.2 96.1 106.3
VIET PBT 20.0 12.0 11.7
THAI Rev 6.0 5.2 4.2
THAI PBT 0.02 -0.5 -0.2


In FY2013, there is an increase in monthly production capacity of a factory in Vietnam by approximately USD1.0mil. I am keen to know what is the utilization rate of its overall production capacity and its future plan of capex.
In early 2013, Latitude has proposed to acquire all the subsidiaries of Latitude Tree International Group Ltd (LTIGL) for SGD48.75mil, which includes 99.99% of share capital of Latitude Tree Vietnam Joint Stock Company. Operation in Vietnam (under LTIGL) contributes 100% of Latitude's profit in FY2013 as operation in both Malaysia & Thailand suffer minor loss.
Currently Latitude Tree holds the shares of Vietnam operation indirectly through 77.6% owned LTIGL. Once the corporate exercise is completed, Latitude Tree will directly own 99.99% of its most profitable Vietnam operation. 
The net profit attributed to non-controlling interest for FY2013 amounted to RM7.68mil, compared to RM24.37 net profit for owners of the parent. If both are combined later, its net profit might be 32% more.
For recent FY14Q1, PBT from Vietnam operation increases as much as 70% both QoQ and YoY to RM20mil. To add icing on top, operation in Malaysia turns profitable in this quarter after scaling down of its operation.
Latitude will only need to pay SGD2.3mil cash for the acquisition, the balance of SGD46.4mil will be settled by way of set-off against the capital due to be returned to Latitude Tree. I actually don't understand what it really means, but it seems like Latitude does not need to borrow or deplete its cash substantially, or do share placement to complete the acquisition.
The proposed acquisition is expected to be completed before 31 Dec 2013.
       Latitude's dining set
As Latitud's business is moderately affected by seasonality, one would expect its Q3 & Q4 results (Jan-Jun) to be weaker. If LTIGL acquisition is completed in Q2, then Q3 & Q4 result might be good due to full contribution from Vietnam operation.
My personal estimation of Latitude's FY2014 PAT is RM40mil (64% increase from FY2013). This will give it an EPS of 41sen base on 97.2mil shares. Thus, my own target price for Latitude is RM3.30, if we give it a PE ratio of 8x. 
Anyway, I think Latitude's FY2014 net profit has a good chance to exceed RM40mil. Next quarter's result (FY14Q2) will be vital to determine whether to top up the shares.
At current price of RM1.7x, Latitude still looks quite cheap to me.
Both Latitude & Homeritz are perhaps worth to invest in, as both are good and manufacture different types of home furniture.
Last but not least, in Latitude's FY2013 annual report just released last week, Cold Eye Fong SiLing appears to be its no.12 largest shareholder at 1.4%. In FY2012, his name does not appear in the Top 30 largest shareholders list.

KSL

Friday, 11 October 2013

Top 10 In Property Sector

During the property bull run for the last 5 years, a lot of listed developers' profit grow. Thus, their share price also rise. However, does the rise in share price proportionate with the rise in profit?
After screening through the listed property stocks, actually we can find that some small/mid cap companies are still quite "undervalued" at the moment.
The tables below contain some easy-to-get info of most companies listed in property sector of Bursa KLCI. Some of them are not pure property developers. Some other property developers listed in other sectors and those with annual net profit less than RM15mil will not be included in this list. There is no guarantee that the numbers provided here will be 100% accurate.
The "remark" in the table roughly shows the most recent financial result compared to previous results.
Developers with market cap > RM1 billion












Stock Cap (mil) Price EPS PE Div (sen) DY% NTA Remark

E&O 2,270 2.00 11.7 17.5 4.5 2.3 1.28 1H13 down

IGB 3,949 2.65 12.5 21.9 7.5 2.8 2.77 1H13 flat

IJMLand 4,287 2.75 15.3 19.9 5.0 1.8 1.85 1Q14 up up

Mahsing 3,372 2.43 27.6 14.6 7.6 3.0 1.50 1H13 up

SPSetia 7,942 3.23 20.5 20.2 14.0 4.3 2.22 3Q13 up

Sunway 5,015 2.91 41.2 9.4 6.0 2.1 2.90 1H13 up

SPB 1,474 4.29 20.1 21.3 10.0 2.3 5.56 3Q13 up

TAGB 1,439 0.29 1.7 15.6 0.6 2.1 0.47 1H14 up

Trop 1,678 1.52 32.1 9.9 6.4 4.2 2.45 1H13 up

UEMS 10,656 2.45 10.4 23.8 3.0 1.2 1.28 1H13 up up

UOADev 3,202 2.39 24.6 10.6 12.0 5.0 1.80 1H13 up











Developers with market cap RM300 million - RM1 billion












Stock Cap (mil) Price EPS PE Div (sen) DY% NTA Remark

A&M 336 0.92 7.4 12.4 x x 1.44 1H13 flat

Amprop 456 0.785 16.9 4.7 3.0 3.8 1.30 1Q14 down

Asas 330 1.72 14.3 12.1 5.0 3.0 2.18 1H13 flat

BJAsset 946 0.85 4.2 20.5 1.5 1.8 1.99 FY13 down

Cresndo 736 3.23 29.1 13.2 12.0 3.7 3.02 1H14 up up

Daiman 577 2.72 32.7 8.4 12.0 4.4 4.89 FY13 up up

Glomac 852 1.17 14.7 8.4 6.5 5.5 1.16 1Q14 up

Guoco 806 1.15 6.3 19.2 2.0 1.7 1.20 FY13 up up

Huayang 615 2.33 36.6 8.7 13.25 5.7 1.75 1Q14 down

Hunzpty 499 2.34 91.6 3.0 5.6 2.4 3.84 FY13 up

IBHD 311 2.72 14.8 18.5 4.0 1.5 1.62 1H13 up

KSL 831 2.13 34.1 6.3 x x 3.16 1H13 up up

LBS 844 1.80 9.9 22.4 2.5 1.4 1.26 1H13 up

Magna 350 1.05 5.3 19.8 1.5 1.4 0.54 1H13 up

Malton 353 0.85 8.5 10.0 2.5 3.0 1.46 FY13 down

Matrix 860 2.86 34.5 8.3 15.4* 5.4* 1.73 1H13 up

Medainc 344 0.725 6.2 12.3 2* 2.8* 0.46 1H13 up

MKH 908 2.60 25.4 12.3 5.0 1.9 2.62 3Q13 up up

MKLand 435 0.36 3.4 10.7 2.0 5.6 0.91 FY13 up up

Naim 900 3.60 37.0 10.3 8.0 2.2 3.44 1H13 up

OSKProp 322 1.32 15.3 10.2 7.5 5.7 1.59 1H13 flat

Paramon 513 1.52 16.7 9.1 8.0 5.3 2.09 1H13 flat

PJDev 493 1.08 13.4 8.1 5.0 4.6 2.12 FY13 up

Plenitud 613 2.27 28.8 7.9 6.0 2.6 3.37 FY13 up

SDRED 384 0.90 11.3 8.0 2.25 2.5 1.53 1Q14 down

SHL 518 2.14 14.2 15.0 12.0 5.6 2.43 1Q14 up

Symlife 335 1.08 32.7 3.9 3.0 2.8 1.94 1Q14 up

TAHPS 419 5.60 19.6 28.5 20.0 3.6 5.99 1Q14 up up

Tambun 486 1.44 14.9 11.9 9.1 6.3 0.76 1H13 up

WingTM 831 2.55 42.1 6.3 10.0 3.9 3.22 FY13 up up

YNHProp 775 1.82 12.1 15.6 3.5 1.9 2.03 1H13 flat

YTLLand 827 0.98 3.0 32.8 x x 1.18 FY13 flat











Developers with market cap < RM300 million












Stock Cap (mil) Price EPS PE Div (sen) DY% NTA Remark

Asiapac 137 0.14 1.8 7.8 x x 0.35 1Q14 up

BCB 138 0.67 8.2 8.4 x x 1.75 FY13 up up

CHHB 284 1.03 8.9 11.6 x x 2.81 1H13 up up

Cview 223 2.23 38.0 5.9 14.0* 6.3* 2.01 1H13 up up

Eupe 95 0.745 11.6 6.4 2.0* 2.7* 2.06 1Q14 down

Gromutual 163 0.435 5.9 7.3 1.5 3.4 0.74 2Q14 up

GOB 182 0.80 13.4 6.0 x x 1.12 1Q14 flat

Ivory 261 0.585 8.8 8.1 x x 0.83 1H13 down

Keladi 193 0.255 7.0 3.7 0.5 2.2 0.34 1H13 flat

Ken 144 1.50 18.3 8.7 6.0 4.0 1.77 1H13 down

L&G 215 0.36 7.4 4.9 x x 0.56 1Q14 up

LienHoe 119 0.33 27.5 1.3 x x 0.77 1H13 loss

Menang 159 0.60 6.5 9.2 x x 0.67 loss to profit

Sapres 131 0.94 22.1 4.2 8.6 9.2 2.43 1H13 flat

SBCcorp 138 1.68 32.5 5.2 4.0 2.4 3.59 1Q14 flat

Sentoria 277 0.63 12.7 5.8 14.0 1.6 0.48 3Q13 down

Y&G 108 0.70 3.2 21.9 x x 1.11 1H13 flat











x - not dividend declared
* - dividend not fully declared for the FY
Those companies with low PE ratio in the list are likely to be undervalued. However, the EPS and PE for the latest full financial year may not give us the true picture, as some of the figures are affected by one-off extraordinary gain or loss during the financial year under review.
The tables do not include other important financial ratio such as ROE, gearing etc. Readers are advised to do their own homework to find out more.
With the numbers available here, lets derive some Top 10 companies for fun.
Top 10 Largest Market Capitalization





Rank Company

1 UEMS

2 SP Setia

3 Sunway

4 IJM Land

5 IGB

6 Mahsing

7 UOA Dev

8 E&O

9 Tropicana

10 Selangor Prop




Top 10 Companies with Lowest PE Ratio






Rank Company PE x

1 Lien Hoe 1.3

2 Hunza 3.0

3 Keladi 3.7

4 Symphony Life 3.9

5 Sapura 4.2

6 Amcorp Prop 4.7

7 L&G 4.9

8 SBC Corp 5.2

9 Sentoria 5.8

10 Country View 5.9





Most of the low PE ratio in the table above are not "justifiable" due to one-off gain and these companies may not be able to match the financial result for the next financial year.
Top 10 Companies with "Justifiable" Low PE ratio






Rank Company PE x

1 L&G 4.9

2 SBC Corp 5.2

3 Country View 5.9

4 KSL 6.3

4 WingTai 6.3

5 Gromutual 7.3

6 Selangor Dredg 8.0

7 PJDev 8.1

8 Matrix 8.3

9 BCB 8.4

9 Daiman 8.4

9 Glomac 8.4

10 Huayang 8.7





In my opinion, the low PE ratio of the companies in the table above may be a more accurate representative of its true value.
Top 10 Dividend Yield






Rank Company DY%

1 Country View 6.3*

1 Tambun 6.3

2 Huayang 5.7

2 OSK Prop 5.7

3 MK Land 5.6

3 SHL 5.6

4 Glomac 5.5

5 Matrix 5.4*

6 Paramount 5.3

7 UOA Dev 5.0

8 PJDev 4.6

9 Daiman 4.4

10 SP Setia 4.3





The dividend yield of Sapura Resources (9.2%) is not included in the list as it is likely not sustainable. There are some companies that give bonus issue or share dividend. These are not included in the calculation of dividend yield as well. Some of the dividend are tax-exempted and some are not...
Most of the property developers carry a lot of land with them. Thus their net asset per share is usually high, although these land may not be re-evaluated for a long time. At this moment, there are a lot of companies listed in property sector trading way below their published NTA.
Top 10 Companies with share price lag behind NTA






Rank Company Lag%

1 EUPE 177

2 CHHB 173

3 BCB 161

4 Sapura 159

5 MK Land 153

6 Asiapac 150

7 BJ Assets 134

8 LienHoe 133

9 SBC Corp 114

10 PJ Dev 96





Other Prominent Property Developers Not Listed In Property Sector












Stock Cap (mil) Price EPS PE Div (sen) DY% NTA Remark

Gamuda 1,0767 4.72 25.4 19.9 12.0 2.5 2.14 FY13 flat

IOICorp 3,4701 5.39 30.8 17.6 15.5 2.9 2.14 FY13 up

MRCB 2,460 1.49 4.3 40.9 2.0 1.3 1.03 1H13 down

Scientex 1,258 5.47 51.0 11.4 26.0 4.8 2.84 FY13 up

SIME 57,090 9.50 61.6 15.4 34.0 3.6 4.51 FY13 down

WCT 2,676 2.46 38.6 7.3 7.0 2.8 1.95 1H13 down











If solely base on PE, DY and recent financial results, we can rate these property developers as below:
Outstanding: 
  • Country View
  • Glomac
  • Huayang
  • Matrix
  • PJDev

Attractive: 
  • Daiman
  • Gromutual
  • KSL
  • L&G
  • MK Land
  • OSK Prop
  • Paramount
  • SBC Corp
  • Tambun
  • UOA Dev
  • WingTai

You should study the balance sheet, financial ratios and competitiveness of these companies to determine which is the best property stock. Of course those big cap developers are not bad too, and their higher range of PE is a norm to them.